A new ‘coupled’ ocean-sea ice model will help researchers more accurately model how different components of the climate system interact, improving their ability to predict the effects of climate change.
One of the greatest challenges facing earth system science (see box) today involves understanding how the global climate system works, so that we can determine how it will respond to climate change and how to predict weather and climate on timescales from months to millennia.
The climate system has numerous components, including the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere (ice and snow) and the biosphere (part of the Earth where living organisms reside). These components interact with each other at various levels. To advance our understanding of the global climate system, we need to understand the interactions and feedback mechanisms between all these components, by finding answers to questions such as:
- How will global warming affect sea ice and how will this affect the ocean circulation?
- What are the climate variabilities associated with seasonal, annual and decadal timescales, and how will that impact on life on Earth?
- What is the role of Antarctica within the global climate system, how does it interact with the Southern Ocean and how does it affect Australia?
The AusCOM model is a ‘coupled’ ocean-sea ice model — an ocean model connected with a sea ice model. This coupling allows two of the main components of the climate system to directly interact. Information from changes in sea ice characteristics, for example, will feed into the ocean model, which then reacts in certain ways and feeds this reactive information back into the sea ice model. This provides a more accurate simulation of the climate system than using standalone models in isolation.
AusCOM is a collaborative effort involving scientists from the Tasmanian Partnership of Advanced Computing (TPAC), the Australian Antarctic Division (AAD), the Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research and several universities. Some of the model components were contributed by overseas colleagues, including the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (USA) and the European Centre for Advanced Training in Scientific Computation (France). The sea ice model was developed by the AAD and TPAC and will be integrated into the overall model. It is anticipated that the coupled model will be available to researchers in 2006.
PETRA HEIL, Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre and Ice, Oceans, Atmosphere and Climate Programme, AAD
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